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Why a Historically Reliable Recession Indicator May No Longer Be Accurate

Why a Historically Reliable Recession Indicator May No Longer Be Accurate

Wall Street’s most reliable recession indicator started signaling trouble in 2022 and hasn’t stopped since, but so far it has proven wrong every time. The yield on 10-year Treasuries has been lower than that of many shorter-term bonds, a scenario known as an inverted yield curve, which has historically preceded nearly every recession since the 1950s. Traditionally, an inverted yield curve suggests a recession within a year or two. However, not only has a recession not occurred, but U.S. economic growth remains stable. This has led many on Wall Street to wonder why this once-reliable indicator has proven wrong this…
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Ford Reports Significant Revenue Drop Due to Warranty Issues

Ford Reports Significant Revenue Drop Due to Warranty Issues

DETROIT — Ford Motor Company fell significantly short of Wall Street expectations for second-quarter earnings, despite beating revenue forecasts, as long-running warranty issues plague the automaker. Here's how the company performed against analyst estimates reviewed by LSEG: Earnings per share: 47 cents adjusted vs. 68 cents adjusted expected Automotive revenue: $44.81 billion vs. $44.02 billion forecast Ford shares are up about 15% this year as prices in the auto sector have remained more resilient than expected. However, as the industry-wide shift to electric vehicles proceeds more slowly than expected, the automaker has adjusted its production plans, focusing less on fully…
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Tune In: Fed Chair Jerome Powell Discusses Interest Rate Policy and Economic Outlook

Tune In: Fed Chair Jerome Powell Discusses Interest Rate Policy and Economic Outlook

Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell will speak at the Economic Club of Washington, D.C., on Monday, providing insights into the central bank's interest rate policy and the broader economic landscape. Powell will engage in a discussion with David Rubenstein, president of the Economic Club and co-founder of The Carlyle Group. The move marks Powell’s first public comments since Thursday’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) report, which showed monthly prices for June falling. During his two-day testimony on Capitol Hill last week, Powell said the Federal Reserve now sees the risks of rising inflation and a slowing economy as more balanced. He…
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Alphabet Hits Revenue Goals But Fails to Match YouTube Ad Revenue

Alphabet Hits Revenue Goals But Fails to Match YouTube Ad Revenue

Google parent company Alphabet reported its second-quarter results after the market closed on Tuesday, meeting analysts’ expectations for revenue and profit but falling short on YouTube advertising revenue. Following the announcement, Alphabet shares rose about 1% in after-hours trading. Here's how the company performed against analyst estimates reviewed by LSEG: Earnings: $1.89 per share vs. $1.84 per share expectedRevenue: $84.74 billion vs. $84.19 billion expectedAdditional key figures tracked by Wall Street: YouTube Ad Revenue: $8.66 Billion vs. $8.93 Billion, According to StreetAccountGoogle Cloud Revenue: $10.35 Billion vs. $10.20 Billion, StreetAccountTraffic Acquisition Cost (TAC): $13.39 billion vs. $13.54 billion according to…
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LeBron James leads Team USA to victory over Germany in thrilling exhibition game

LeBron James leads Team USA to victory over Germany in thrilling exhibition game

The United States men's national basketball team faced a tight showdown in their final pre-Olympic game against Germany, and it was LeBron James who secured the victory for Team USA. In a dramatic finale, James scored 11 points in the final four minutes to lift the Americans to a 92-88 victory on Monday. The NBA’s all-time leading scorer sparked the comeback with a dunk, giving Team USA an 83-82 lead with less than four minutes remaining. He followed it up with a steal and a quick conversion to extend the lead to 85-82. James continued his decisive performance by hitting…
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