Can Volodymyr Zelenskyy recover from his self-made crisis?

Can Volodymyr Zelenskyy recover from his self-made crisis?

Volodymyr Zelenskyy—once a symbol of Ukrainian resilience and global wartime leadership—now confronts a serious domestic crisis largely of his own making. With anti-corruption institutions under threat, public demonstrations underway, and mounting international concern, his ability to rebound hinges on restoring institutional trust, honoring democratic norms, and maintaining support amid Russia’s intensifying war.

Since 2019, Zelenskyy’s journey has been defined by two distinct political arcs. Initially elected on promises of ending corruption and reforming entrenched political elites, he faced early disappointment when progress lagged. His popularity dipped dramatically through 2021 alongside stalled reforms and unclear leadership direction. Critics argued he had overpromised and underdelivered.

The Russian invasion of 2022 marked a pivotal moment, during which Zelenskyy emerged as a leader in times of war. By choosing to stay in Kyiv, delivering daily speeches to the public, and skillfully engaging with global media, he became an international symbol, garnering Western backing and fostering national cohesion. This era shaped a fresh political agreement centered around him—a coalition born out of crisis rather than typical political processes.

Yet as wartime unity solidified his position, structural weaknesses resurfaced beneath the veneer of solidarity. Recently, legislation placing Ukraine’s two main anti-corruption bodies under executive control triggered the largest domestic backlash since the war’s start. Tens of thousands protested nationwide, while EU officials, Western allies, and even Ukrainian service members voiced alarm.

Under stress, Zelenskyy changed direction and introduced new laws to reinstate autonomy to these agencies. Nevertheless, his standing remains damaged. Detractors now wonder if he leans towards authoritarianism, thereby weakening the democratic principles he promised to maintain.

First, reaffirming transparent governance. To rebuild credibility, Zelenskyy must follow through on promises to protect NABU and SAPO from political interference. Clear, enforceable reforms endorsed by all stakeholders—including Europe’s institutions—would not erase the misstep but signal renewed accountability.

Second, encouraging the public to participate constructively. Going back to decision-making that involves consultation, alongside evident legislative scrutiny and open public discussions, can start to rebuild trust. Demonstrators throughout Kyiv, Lviv, Odesa, and further afield symbolize a nationwide call to protect the advancements achieved since the Maidan revolution—a call that cannot be disregarded.

Third, balancing the immediate needs of wartime with democratic principles. In periods of conflict, implementing martial law and centralized control might appear essential, yet sustaining such measures over an extended duration challenges their legitimacy. Zelenskyy needs to outline a schedule for reestablishing complete democratic standards—particularly elections—as the military and security landscape develops.

Fourth, delivering tangible governance gains. Corruption scandals, economic challenges, and administrative missteps have eroded public confidence. Zelenskyy must accelerate reforms—from anti-oligarch measures to public service efficiency—to demonstrate real progress beyond wartime symbolism.

Political analysts suggest that Zelenskyy may still retain enough support to weather the storm—especially compared against opposition figures lacking his wartime stature. Public polling indicates he remains more trusted than most rivals, though not overwhelmingly so. If elections were held now, some believe he’d perform poorly in a head-to-head against leaders like former commander-in-chief Valerii Zaluzhnyi.

Alternatively, stepping aside voluntarily after a single term could preserve his legacy as the leader who united the country during its darkest hours.

What are the risks? If he hesitates—delays institutional reforms, suppresses dissent, or delays elections indefinitely—he risks alienating both domestic civic society and international allies. EU accession prospects, Western aid, and Ukraine’s legitimacy hinge on adherence to democratic benchmarks.

In parallel, relinquishing power prematurely or seeming divided might jeopardize the unity necessary for effective wartime cooperation. Achieving the appropriate balance between decisive leadership and responsible governance represents his most subtle obstacle.

Can Zelenskyy engineer a comeback? The window remains narrow but open. Restoration of anti-corruption institutions, economic stabilization, and clarity of leadership intentions may allow him to re-center the narrative. In doing so, he must shift from ideological populism toward pragmatic diplomacy and reform.

As Ukraine faces an escalating assault by Russia, domestic weaknesses might turn into crucial vulnerabilities. Strong governance bolsters both internal stability and confidence abroad.

Whether Zelenskyy regains his stature depends on his readiness to rectify errors, allow institutional examination, and reinforce Ukraine’s democratic character. If he succeeds, he might be remembered as the leader during conflict who also respected democratic values. If unsuccessful, the past shortcomings will resurface—viewed as a continuation of Ukraine’s ongoing battle with sistema instead of a fresh start.

In the upcoming months, Zelenskyy will be challenged to prove himself not only as a leader during conflict, but also as a statesman dedicated to the revitalization of democracy in times of war and peace.

Por Camila Rojas